Laraba (Disamba 18), dalar Amurka kunkuntar kewayon girgiza bayan komawa zuwa sama, kamar na 16:35 GMT, dalar Amurka a 106.960 (+0.01, +0.01%); Babban danyen mai na Amurka 02 nuna son kai a 70.03 (+0.38, +0.55%).
Ranar tagulla ta Shanghai ba ta da rauni sosai, babban kwangilar 2501 a ƙarshe ya rufe 0.84%, farashin rufewa a yuan 73,930. Yanayin taka-tsan-tsan kasuwa ya mamaye, farantin da ba na ƙarfe ba, babban yanki da matsi ya faɗo. A halin yanzu a cikin buƙatun jan ƙarfe a ƙarshen kakar wasa, aikin kasuwa yana ƙoƙarin yin rauni, ma'amalar tabo ba ta da ƙarfi, farashin tagulla don samar da danniya. Bugu da kari, sautin shaho na babban bankin tarayya ya yi nuni da hanyar rage kudin ruwa na shekara mai zuwa na iya zama tsayin daka sosai, tare da kasuwannin Turai da Amurka kafin bukukuwan Kirsimeti, sha'awar sha'awa ta koma baya, tagulla ta Shanghai ta ci gaba da kiyaye yanayin girgiza.
Sanarwar ƙudurin kuɗin riba na Tarayyar Tarayya yana nan kusa, kuɗin da aka zaɓa don shinge riba daga kasuwa, wanda ya haifar da farashin tagulla sama da matsa lamba. Ko da yake Fed ya yi ta tattaunawa akai-akai game da kudaden ruwa a cikin shekara amma bai rage yawan kudin ruwa ba, taurin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya haifar da jinkirta raguwar riba, aikin dalar Amurka yana da karfi. Ko da yake Powell ya bayyana ra'ayin rage kudin ruwa a taron shekara-shekara na manyan bankunan duniya, a watan Satumba ya bude raguwar kudin ruwa na biyu na shekarar, amma har yanzu dala tana da karfi. Musamman bayan nasarar da Trump ya samu a zaben shugaban kasa a watan Nuwamba, dala ta yi tashin gwauron zabi. Bugu da ƙari, a cikin wannan taro na ƙarshe na ribar na shekara, Fed ya ba da sauti mai ban sha'awa, ko da yake raguwa na watan Disamba shine ƙaddarar da aka riga aka rigaya, amma raguwa a watan Janairu na shekara mai zuwa zai iya raguwa, jami'an Fed za su kasance da hankali a nan gaba a kan hanyar rage yawan riba, sake zagayowar riba na iya zama ɗan gajeren lokaci, rabi na biyu na shekara ko dakatarwa, dalar Amurka na iya ci gaba da zama mai karfi da tagulla.
A fannin tattalin arziki na cikin gida, an sami raguwar farashin sau biyu a cikin shekara, wanda ya fi ƙarfin a shekarun baya kuma ya saki yiwuwar ƙarin manufofin rage farashin. A halin yanzu, an rage yawan riba sau uku kuma an daidaita LPR don inganta ingantaccen ci gaban tattalin arziki. Manufofin kasafin kudi na aiki, bayar da takardun baitulmali na musamman, tallafi don bashi na gida, kasuwannin gidaje, da dai sauransu. A karshen watan Satumba don ƙara ƙaddamar da manufofin haɓaka macroeconomic, yanayin kasuwa yana da kyau, kasuwar hannun jari ta haɓaka don fitar da farashin jan karfe. a watan Nuwamba a hukumance saki na macro stimulus manufofin, ƙara da iyaka na kananan hukumomi bashi, shekaru biyar a jere don shirya wani bond bashi na musamman, macroeconomic yanayi ana sa ran zama m da kyau, farashin jan karfe yana da tasiri mai kyau. Bugu da ƙari, manufar 'ciniki-in' ta haɓaka sha'awar mabukaci a cikin sabbin motocin makamashi da kasuwannin kayan aikin gida, yana tallafawa ra'ayin buƙatu na kasuwar ƙarfe da iyakance raguwar farashin tagulla.
Asali ma, mai hakar tagulla dan kasar Chile Antofagasta ya amince da kamfanin Jiangxi Copper na kasar Sin da sauran masu fasa kwabri na kasar Sin kan kudin jiyya na shekara mai zuwa, da raguwar kudaden da aka samu da ke nuna halin da ake ciki a karshen ma'adinan ma'adinai, wanda ke nuni da ci gaba da fuskantar matsalar samar da kayayyaki a shekara mai zuwa, wanda zai taimaka wa farashin tagulla. Koyaya, sabbin umarni a kasuwa sun ragu, amma yawancin kamfanoni suna da isassun umarni a hannu a gaba, suna tallafawa ƙimar farawa a farkon Disamba don kula da babban matakin. A lokaci guda kuma, a ƙarshen Disamba, yawancin sandunan tagulla da masana'antu na ƙasa za su aiwatar da sulhu na ƙarshen shekara, ko wani ɓangare na buƙatar da aka fitar a gaba zuwa tsakiyar da farkon Disamba. Amma gabaɗaya, yanayin ƙarshen shekara yana juyawa sannu a hankali, tashar tashar ba ta da ƙasa don sake cika ƙarancin kuzarin motsa jiki, raunin farfajiyar ma'amala a bayyane yake, ana sa ran amfani zai ƙara sanyi, farashin jan ƙarfe yana ƙarƙashin matsin lamba zuwa rauni mai rauni.
Yin la'akari da yanayin macro da micro na yanzu, macro factor har yanzu shine mabuɗin mahimmanci a farashin. Kodayake cin kasuwar tagulla yana riƙe da ƙarfi, ƙira na ci gaba da tallafawa farashin. Amma a cikin rabin na biyu na Disamba, yanayin ƙarshen shekara yana da kauri sannu a hankali, tashar tashar ba ta isa ba don sake cika ƙananan kaya, raunin fuskar ciniki a bayyane yake. Ana sa ran farashin jan karfe zai kasance cikin matsin lamba da rauni mai rauni. Duk da haka, yin la'akari da ƙananan matakan ƙididdiga na zamantakewa na gida da kuma ƙarshen shekara, akwai tsari na gaggawa, farashin tagulla a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci a ƙasa da sararin samaniya ko ba zai iya buɗewa da sauri ba. Sabili da haka, a cikin aiki ya kamata ku guje wa bin gajere, jiran sake dawowa bayan babban ɗan gajeren damar da aka ba da fifiko.
Lokacin aikawa: Dec-19-2024